Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.000627 0.000720 0.000819 0.000932 0.001057 0.001190 0.001342
2025-05-04 0.000476 0.000603 0.000747 0.000923 0.001129 0.001362 0.001644
2025-05-11 0.000390 0.000528 0.000694 0.000904 0.001161 0.001462 0.001838
2025-05-18 0.000338 0.000487 0.000672 0.000917 0.001225 0.001597 0.002074
2025-05-25 0.000295 0.000448 0.000648 0.000919 0.001272 0.001708 0.002279
2025-06-01 0.000248 0.000399 0.000603 0.000890 0.001274 0.001760 0.002410
2025-06-08 0.000210 0.000357 0.000563 0.000863 0.001274 0.001806 0.002531
2025-06-15 0.000185 0.000331 0.000544 0.000860 0.001305 0.001891 0.002703
2025-06-22 0.000164 0.000309 0.000526 0.000859 0.001335 0.001975 0.002873
2025-06-29 0.000144 0.000285 0.000504 0.000848 0.001351 0.002038 0.003017
2025-07-06 0.000125 0.000261 0.000480 0.000831 0.001357 0.002087 0.003142
2025-07-13 0.000117 0.000254 0.000480 0.000851 0.001416 0.002209 0.003368
2025-07-20 0.000107 0.000244 0.000475 0.000864 0.001465 0.002320 0.003584
2025-07-27 0.000094 0.000226 0.000457 0.000854 0.001479 0.002382 0.003732
2025-08-03 0.000082 0.000207 0.000435 0.000836 0.001481 0.002425 0.003853
2025-08-10 0.000075 0.000200 0.000431 0.000848 0.001527 0.002533 0.004070
2025-08-17 0.000068 0.000190 0.000423 0.000851 0.001559 0.002621 0.004257
2025-08-24 0.000058 0.000171 0.000397 0.000823 0.001541 0.002633 0.004336
2025-08-31 0.000049 0.000155 0.000374 0.000797 0.001525 0.002647 0.004415
2025-09-07 0.000044 0.000146 0.000364 0.000795 0.001546 0.002717 0.004580
2025-09-14 0.000039 0.000138 0.000356 0.000793 0.001568 0.002789 0.004747
2025-09-21 0.000035 0.000129 0.000343 0.000783 0.001575 0.002837 0.004880
2025-09-28 0.000030 0.000119 0.000328 0.000768 0.001572 0.002869 0.004988